Intel Cutting Linux Out of Content Market 444
An Anonymous Reader wrote in to mention an Inquirer story suggesting that Intel is planning on cutting Linux out of the content market. From the article: "The vehicle to do this is called East Fork, the upcoming and regrettable Intel digital media 'platform'. The funny part is that the scheme is already a failure, but it will hurt you as it thrashes before it dies. Be afraid, be very afraid."
So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:5, Interesting)
I choose not to buy this machine. I am saved.
<sarcasm>Be my guest. Live without TV. Live without movies. Live without music.</sarcasm>
In fact, once this catches on, and more PCs start to come with "media center" features, start living without home-priced general-purpose PCs.
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:2)
My guess is that software emulators for hardware DRM facilities will come up sooner or later and defeat most hardware schemes as well.
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:5, Informative)
Oddly enough there wasn't a client program for Mac or Linux, and if your computer reported itself as being something other than Windows, it would just let you through unhindered, I'm told. Seems it wouldn't take much to fudge your Windows system to report itself as a Linux or Mac box.
Upgrade/Downgrade (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:3, Interesting)
Well, here's a question about that.
What do they do about Internet Connection Sharing, port forwarding and router boxes that separate the Windows system from the Net? Even with Windows, I can share an Internet connection with another, possibly non-DRM-enabled box. What's to stop me downloading stuff to the DRM box, then simply shipping it over to the non-DRM box. It's all data. Are they going to prevent me from shipping DRM data over my own network? I mean, Longhorn could have code to check that every netwo
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:5, Informative)
Unless you have a TPM you don't get an IP (Score:3, Informative)
Do you have a URL to back this up?
Typical description of Trusted Network Connect [slashdot.org]
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:4, Insightful)
Is there really anything worth watching on TV anymore? I probably watch one or two hours a month tops. They put out boring crap that doesn't even interest me in the slightest.
Go rent the movie you want to see and watch it on your DVD player. Or, for that matter, a few minutes spent looking for torrents will find you almost any movie or TV show worth watching, if you don't mind waiting for the download and taking the chance that you will get caught.
Music? Well if you want the latest top 20 you will have to either pay for the cd's, listen to the radio or try to find a download and take your chances.
I think that all the interesting new stuff is being put out by small independent bands. if I like the music I try to buy directly from the band if I can. I don't plan on buying anything at all from the big studios if I can help it. Hopefully my refusal to buy from them is part of the reason the greedy bastards are complaining so much.
There are a few people putting out "open" content now. Some of it can be found on http://www.legaltorrents.com/ [legaltorrents.com]
Talk up "open content" to all of the non-tech's you know. How many slashdotters are there? If a hundred thousand techs started mentioning it to the sheep tomorrow it would create some buzz.
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:3, Interesting)
For the most part, I already do. The only music I listen to is generally indie folk. I don't watch TV, and I very rarely go to the movies.
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:3, Interesting)
If you want to preview... (Score:5, Informative)
They let you preview all of the songs on every album for sale, and though they may not have RIAA-signed artists, they've got a pretty good selection, and I try to shamelessly plug them every chance I get. Best of all, all you need is an mp3 player of some sort to listen to the 128kbps song previews (which are the full songs, not 30 second snippets). The prices are very reasonable, and 50% of the sale price of the album goes straight to the artist; so you can buy more music than you would on amazon, and the people who made it will get fairly compensated for their work and talent. You should check it out, you might like it.
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:2, Interesting)
I think the issue here is that a platform like this is the content providers wet dream come true.
So if this catches on you can of course still boycott it, however you than will be cut off from much of the cultural production of your day.
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:4, Funny)
N.
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:5, Insightful)
The media people will try to find that "sweet spot", the point where they remotely control all content distribution and use, but where we aren't quite irritated enough to keep our wallets firmly jammed in our pockets where they belong. Current experiments with copy-protection and DRM are proving that the threshold of pain is currently very low for consumers: if I can't watch what I want when I want then you can just stick this disc up your a** (and this is as it should be!) However, after some time and incrementalism, whereby we keep losing bits and pieces of what we've come to enjoy since the advent of the VCR, we will one day wake up in a world where there is an automatically-deducted charge for viewing each individual frame of a movie. If I am still able to buy books at that point, that's what I'll be entertaining myself with. The rest of the population probably won't have that option, since at the rate we're going, it is unlikely they'll even be able to read.
We've been hypnotized into believing that we absolutely must have a television (the larger the better, and preferably HDTV-ready), a DVD player and disc collection (the larger the better) and that the movie theatre is so important that we will regularly part with nine or ten bucks to see the latest round of wooden acting and plotless filmmaking (can you say, "Episode III?" I knew you could.) To that I say
To all you people that spend your spare time in front of your computer or watching that 60" Hi-Def
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:3, Insightful)
Seriously though, DVR boxes and content-protected television have only reached a small percentage of the American market. Although I can't prove this to you, my feeling is that that segment of the market is comprised mostly of early adopter types, who tend to be more willing than average to put up with corporate bullshit, in order to be the first person on their block to have X, whether X is a Hidef-capable TiVo or ultra-hifi digital audio on SAC
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:5, Insightful)
If you don't like it, you can live without music, TV and movies, an increasingly appealing proposition to me.
Sign me up.
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:4, Insightful)
then i remembered that one nice part about music is you can make your own.
Digital TV, et al (Score:5, Insightful)
This is actually the very doomsday scenario that caused the British Government in the 1940s to ban the use of cable for broadcasting. Dissent will be impossible, you WILL see the content that is proscribed and no other, for no other content will exist.
In the same way pirate radio simply doesn't exist in the US, pirate TV will not do so either. If more people had access to multicast streams, it would be very easy to set up dissenting sources of media, but that isn't going to happen.
Sure, there are technologies like DeCSS around. They are banned in the US, under the DMCA, but they are around. Eventually, though, they are bound to fail. The penalties will become too severe, there won't be any safe havens left for developers to operate in. (DeCSS only exists because other countries haven't gone DRM-crazy yet.)
There is also the fact that Intel is a near-monopoly. In the same way Microsoft killed off Netscape, Intel CAN kill off all non-DRMed media by simply refusing to play it - or, worse, creating a log of un-DRMed content and sending the list to "interested parties". The technology for this exists and would certainly be in the spirit of the DMCA.
Does this mean Intel are evil? Not necessarily. "Can" is a long way from "will". There is no proof of intent to cause harm. Harm is inevitable, when you go down this kind of road, but there is no proof that that is why Intel is going there.
Personally, I believe Intel see this as a way to make money off the RIAA and MPAA - sponge off of their paranoia - and therefore solidify control over their corner of the market. I don't see this as Intel trying to censor or trying to "cut Linux out".
Nonetheless, once the technology is out and branded with the Intel logo, it will be used to censor (by the RIAA and MPAA) and will be used to cut Linux out (by Microsoft and possibly SCO). The long-term consequences are inevitable, even though I don't believe Intel are doing this for those reasons.
Intel is out to make money, and the most money comes from having the most power. The same is true of all the other companies. Power is not an end in itself, it is a means of becoming filthy rich and staying that way. It is necessary in order to attain and maintain that state. Without power, alternatives can thrive and that will reduce profit.
Intel are no more evil than Star Trek's Ferrengi and are driven by much the same belief system. Their "crime", if it can be called that, is to ignore the consequences of that belief system. It doesn't affect their profit margin, so is of no consequence to them, regardless of how it impacts others.
Re:Digital TV, et al (Score:5, Insightful)
Oh, I disagree. p2p radio of today (e.g. peercast) will be p2p video of tomorrow.
'nuff said.
Re:Digital TV, et al (Score:3, Funny)
So we will only be able to watch proscribed [m-w.com] content eh? We will all be forced to watch kiddie porn and snuff films? I agree, that sounds pretty bad.
Jedidiah.
Pirate radio and TV does exist (Score:3, Insightful)
Pirate FM radio does exist in the USA but only a few channels in hyper-dense markets like Los Angeles, San Francisco, and New York. Individual channels come and go depending upon how necessary that the FCC feels that the station needs to be shut down.
I suspect that pirate TV will happen when NTSC broadcasting goes off the air, which is scheduled for Dec 31, 2006. Suddenly there will be millions of TVs tha
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:5, Insightful)
Why? Because he paints an unpleasant picture?
What part of the picture seems unreasonable? That Microsoft, Intel, RIAA and MPAA could be in bed together? That these corporations are run by greedy bastards that really don't have your best interests at heart? That these powerful corporations could buy congress? That people are fucking sheep too busy with their little lives to pay attention to important issue until it's too late?
The man hit the nail on the head folks. The corporations have done that statistical math as it applies to a population of self centered, apathetic consumer drones. Their formula is based on the fact that although a small percentage of the population is unpredictable, the vast majority are predictable.
John Lennon said it really well in "Working Class Hero"
A working class hero is something to be.
Keep you doped with religion and sex and TV,
And you think you're so clever and classless and free,
But you're still fucking peasants as far as I can see,
So go ahead and ignore all the warnings and mock them as doomsday predictions. After all, you must. The corporate consumer drone formula says so.
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:4, Interesting)
This is a good point, and rather ironic, if you really think about it. China, one of the most undemocratic superpowers in the world, will soon be the last bastion of content freedom. To my knowledge, only the import DVD players from China sold over the gray market offers unlimited changes to the player's DVD region as a feature.
Wiseguys (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:So how is this going to kill fair use? (Score:3, Interesting)
Yeah, the Chinese are really moving along. Sending pig sperm into space is going to get them control of the LaGrange Points.
Idiot.
Not afraid (Score:4, Insightful)
Or something. Look, if you want to use your media the way you want and not be locked into DRM, don't buy this. Also don't buy RIAA CDs or download from sources you think are too restrictive. If enough people do it, they'll have to change their DRM. If (as I suspect will happen) everybody else in the world is fine with the DRM, then they won't have to change and that will suck. But you don't have to use it, so it shouldn't matter to you.
Will there always be an alternative? (Score:2)
If (as I suspect will happen) everybody else in the world is fine with the DRM, then they won't have to change and that will suck. But you don't have to use it, so it shouldn't matter to you.
"Don't have to use it"? What happens once all cable/sat/OTA decoder boxes start to come with Windows Media Center features powered by the East Fork platform? Then how will you get your TV?
Re:Will there always be an alternative? (Score:3, Interesting)
What happens once all cable/sat/OTA decoder boxes start to come with Windows Media Center features powered by the East Fork platform? Then how will you get your TV?
You won't? Can you live with out TV? I can. I mostly do now and losing the little I do watch doesn't scare me.
Re:Will there always be an alternative? (Score:2)
Re:Will there always be an alternative? (Score:5, Insightful)
Over the internet, from people in countries with sane copyright law, same as a lot of
Copyright laws change (Score:2)
Over the internet, from people in countries with sane copyright law
Copyright laws can and do change over time. Australia just got a copy of the Bono Act and the DMCA, and even Canada is headed toward something approximating the DMCA.
Re:Not afraid (Score:2)
Re:Not afraid (Score:2)
Re:Not afraid (Score:3, Insightful)
The problem is that DRM is not
uhhh (Score:5, Insightful)
-TLAY
Re:uhhh (Score:2)
Re:uhhh (Score:3, Informative)
In 1999, even stocks of good companies with solid futures was overvalued and the tech stocks today are still lower. Don't fall into the trap with stocks, thinking that they HAVE to go up.
Re:uhhh (Score:3, Informative)
Re:uhhh (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:uhhh (Score:3, Insightful)
Biased (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Biased (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Biased (Score:2, Insightful)
Now Remember Kids (Score:5, Funny)
I thought people on slashdot were inherently incapable of being screwed... Please see previous articles on roleplaying.
Re:Now Remember Kids (Score:3, Funny)
With as much populatrity as linux has in.. (Score:2, Insightful)
Tinfoil hat? (Score:5, Insightful)
My CDs play well on my $29 stereo, and in my car. FM radio, where it isn't ClearChannel, sounds just fine. Perhaps the drones who are EMPOWERING Intel to make this move are going to suffer. Why must your PC converge with your TV?
Why must you have 55" plasma, Dolby 11.1 surround, with Foomatic DSP and Orgasmatron effects? Christ, step outside and go for a walk, see a local band, read a book, play with your dog, have sex with your wife. This is your life, man, and its ending 1 minute at a time.
Re:Tinfoil hat? (Score:2, Interesting)
(If I seem to be a bit scathing, that was intentional.)
In any case, I have a feeling that this is going to end much the same way as it did with DVDs: in theory, it is illegal to crack CSS, but nobody gives a damn as long as you don't make a torrent out of it afterwards (which is something entirely diffe
Re:Tinfoil hat? (Score:3, Insightful)
This is Slashdot. Even if by some stroke of luck (or unluck, depending who you ask) that a slashdotter is married, the sex probably isn't happening.
Re:Go away, you're not 21 (Score:5, Funny)
Not everybody can afford to take care of yet another child.
Go buy some condoms, ya cheap bastard.
Re:Go away, you're not 21 (Score:2)
Condoms are roughly $1 a piece where I live, that's nothing close to cheap.
Re:Go away, you're not 21 (Score:3, Funny)
Condoms are roughly $1 a piece where I live, that's nothing close to cheap.
Not to mention that you have to actually talk to the woman sometimes. I mean, I've got UT to play and
Re:Go away, you're not 21 (Score:3, Insightful)
I play Quake with my fiance. She doesn't like deathmatch, but coop is much more fun than single player (I'm hoping Quake4 has a good coop mode).
and
You probably can't talk her into
And to top it off, I gotta pay a whole dollar to have sex?
You don't need to pay a buck to have sex with her, it's mor
The ironic thing... (Score:5, Insightful)
I'd love to use something like iTunes. Unfortunately, because of the DRM, the fact that the files aren't compatible with Linux, my Palm, and whatever else I want it to be with, I'd rather just pirate the damned thing. Then I get it in a format I know works.
Computer software. If the first damned thing that I'm going to do is scour the net for a "nocd" patch to get rid of the ridiculous SecureROM crap, then I'm more likely to grab the entire package. Add to that a point-of-sale variation on DRM, the no-return policies, and the fact that so much of the software out there sucks, doesn't perform as advertised, crashes, or is incompatible with hardware it should work with, and people are more likely to pirate the software.
The content companies can keep shooting themselves in the foot. Hopefully, the U.S. government will eventually come in and slap all these companies down with anti-trust violations and the like, but I'm not holding my breath. Microsoft, the RIAA, et al. donate a lot of money, you know.
Re:The ironic thing... (Score:2)
I spend most of my iTunes time previewing tracks to see if the actual CD is worth buying. No sense in paying actual money for compressed content.
Re:The ironic thing... (Score:2)
Have a google for Pymusique. I'm using it successfully on my Linux box to purchase music from iTunes. I can play the files easily on my system too.
I'm not going to let a company refuse to sell me something because they don't like my choice of computer.
Re:The ironic thing... (Score:5, Informative)
That's one reason iTunes has worked so well. The DRM is so weak that Apple actually tells you an easy way to get rid of it, Mix up new tracks with your existing MP3 collection to make killer compilations. You can burn songs from the iTunes Music Store an unlimited number of times. [apple.com]
Oh, they make a token effort to discourage blatant fair use, enough to convince the labels that they're in charge, but it's really run on the honor system.
Re:The ironic thing... (Score:2)
That's one theory. Personally I think the Intel switch is part of something Jobs has been trying to do since he came back to Apple: kill the classic Mac OS. Remember, he tried back in '97, but he got slapped down by Adobe and so this time he waited until he could get the ISVs on his side. When he got that, and pulled the last OS-9 bootable Mac from the Apple Store
will not hurt me at all for I am a criminal. (Score:5, Funny)
Yes, I am worse than all the serial killers on death row, I am a linux user.
and to top it off, I am evil enough to share with friends and relatives on how to do the same thing. I distribute the weapons of mass destruction such as DVDDecryptor, DVDShrink, and yes, even a CD ripping tool that uses Lame and cdparanoia for windows (Oh why doesn't someone stop me!) sothey too can commit the terrorist acts of ripping CD's, DVD's and other horrible crimes that threaten freedom and our way of life.
Yes, I am a linux user, and no one can stop me.
Mod Lumpy the Criminal Insightful (Score:2, Insightful)
Intel hurting (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:Intel hurting (Score:3, Insightful)
1) Being a cheap memory supplier for IBM mainframes
2) Designing a CPU with a 20 bit and not a 16 bit address scheme
3) Integrating Risc technology into CISC and thus killing the advantage of RISC
4) Winning a speed war
_____
I can see from there perspective why:
5) Moving computer technology into the mainstream of all media
might seem like an option for a major surge. An expensive
RE: Intel Cutting out Linux (Score:2, Interesting)
Has the Supreme Court reversed itself... (Score:5, Interesting)
No way, no how, will I use WMV or any other format w/DRM. Not now, not ever.
Am I surprised by any of this? Nope. They fought the VCR, the cassette tape, the eight-track, private ownership of film cameras, etc. Even after repeated court rulings setting down that the people had the right to make archival back-ups of media such as floppies, the software companies still tried to use copy protection that made it impossible to make such an archival or fair-use copy.
Here's fair-use compatible DRM: I get a file of information as usual such as name, address, phone, e-mail, secret questions I know the answer to, etc. I also pay them X$ for whatever. Public key encryption is used to ensure only the key holder can access it. I can copy the encrypted file to whatever device I like that can read and act on my key. Without my key, it won't work.
Want more security? A simple USB device with a unique hardware key adds an extra layer insuring that only the person with that dongle and password for both hardware and stored software keys can play it. If I lose it for good, I revoke my software key on the server and inform them and prove who I am and get a new copy issued when I get a new USB key. They don't give a new copy until I permanently revoke my software key and prove my identity and that I bought a copy previously attached to that key.
If I gave my USB dongle away with the previous copy, then when the system connects in and asks the server about my software key it finds it revoked, it won't play the file and suspends the old key on the USB fob.
An open community such as that operating the various PGP/GPG key servers would handle the software key side, the hardware keys would be made to adhere to an open standard using well documented public key encryption standards and algorithms, and the IP owners handing out encrypted copies would have no control over either. They'd not be able to unilaterally revoke your right to usage of the copy you paid for and you'd not get that encrypted copy until you paid.
Go ahead and P2P the encrypted files all you want. Unless you can break PGP encrypted files trivially, it won't help. They'd be useless without both the hardware and software keys that matched the file.
If they used this, and the content was what I wanted, I'd pay and get my personal copy.
Yeah, I know. I can dream though...
Re:Has the Supreme Court reversed itself... (Score:2)
You know why they do that, don't you?
It's because for every 1 person who wants to make a backup, there are at least 10 if
Re:Has the Supreme Court reversed itself... (Score:2)
No, actually, it doesn't. Most people don't think like you do, believe it or not.
Re: (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Has the Supreme Court reversed itself... (Score:2)
A open DRM standard can never work, because any
Re:Has the Supreme Court reversed itself... (Score:3, Informative)
You don't seem to understand how public key encryption works. In your scheme, devices can only decrypt the files if they have YOUR private key. But if you hold and control the private key, it's no longer DRM because that private key gives you access to the non-encrypted data and you can do whatever you want with
They sky isn't quite falling yet. (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:They sky isn't quite falling yet. (Score:2)
My solution to DRM (Score:3, Interesting)
At some point... (Score:2, Insightful)
From another viewpoint (Score:4, Interesting)
There will spring all sorts of new inventions from this. Who knows, maybe we'll see a whole new industry spring up to fill the void that was once completely covered by the current industry giants.
I can imagine though this is going to create many problems. Major ISPs may not allow you on their networks if you're not "secure". You will undoubtedly have to use MicroTel hardware at work, therefore if you try to work at home, you'll have to have at least one "secure" computer just to be able to edit your Word document.
I can see Apple gaining a wider audience on the other hand. They're moving TOWARDS open source, not away from it. They seems to have their finger on the pulse of the people.
I'm a bit nervous.. change is always tough.. especially when you've grown up with this industry. But in the end the great spirit of the geeks will emerge. It's too strong.
Re:From another viewpoint (Score:3, Interesting)
No, it is as evil as it seems. It will hopefully fail as a result and leave a void to be filled by DRM-free open source software. But it's still evil in and of itself and there will likely be many casualties in the ensuing battle against freedom and innovation.
"..But this will be good for linux and open source in the end."
The only way that Open Source is ever going to take over the media content scene is if artists and movie producers start going independent en masse.
AMD and trusted computing (Score:4, Informative)
Like we needed another reason to switch to AMD (Score:2)
Apple has been doing something similar with their QuickTime codecs. If you've tried to play one recently and gotten the error that it can't play the file or find an update. Drag feet supporting other platforms and subtly encourage people to switch. At least that's the way market droids think.
Strange Writing Style (Score:2, Insightful)
Yes, but (Score:2)
No mention of the term "East Fork" on intel.com (Score:2)
I don't speak for Intel (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:I don't speak for Intel (Score:5, Interesting)
The thing that you don't address is, is Intel going to put out a free (beer) or free (speech) version of the DRM'd WMV codecs? Not on your life. Since they are only officially blessing the MS DRM scheme, that is a heavy bias as to what people should encode in, and if history is any guide, they will. MS will quickly become the defacto standard.
Now, Intel very well may release the framework for Linux, and if you can comment, will they spend the time and effort to port the proprietary codecs? If not, you can be pretty sure that MS will not. So, you end up with something about as usefull as an uncustomised CRM package, IE pointless.
Also, can you care to explain to me how the MS and Intel co-marketing scheme will not lead to a pro-MS bias?
It is a really subtle sort of alienation the kind that MS is _SO_ good at, and I mean this in the most respectful way, they are good. Intel could have fixed this problem, a $300 mil campaign for a media PC without DRM would have been just as effective. I have debated this with several Intel people in positions of power to do things about this, and they repeatedly show an unwillingness to display any sort of backbone here.
There are two companies that are in a position of stop this DRM evil, Intel and MS. We can pretty safely assume MS will not go there, but I was honestly hoping Intel would. My bad.
If they had stood up and planted a stake in the sand, used their massive (really) software engineering team to build a better mousetrap without DRM, they would have won the day. They are cowards and money grubbers, and they sold us all out.
-Charlie
This is a false set of choices (Score:4, Insightful)
This is a false set of choice. That's because DRM != Watching A Movie.
If Congress passed a law tomorrow outlawing DRM, do you think the studios would say "oh, no more content for people, we'll sit on it and not let anybody see it!" Or is DRM simply a way to ensure 5% better margins and incidentally screw everybody out of fair use?
The answer is, without DRM, high-def (note, I didn't say high quality) video would be available, and you'd be better off as would the rest of the world. The content will be sold. I'd rather it be on my terms rather than the MPAA's terms. And I'd rather my PC not fall victim of Intel/MS's desire to increase margins just so I won't make a copy of that marvelous "Batman Begins" movie.
I'm okay with you giving up any and all your rights just for 1080i. Don't ask me to do the same all in the name of entertainment.
Re:This is a false set of choices (Score:3, Interesting)
-Charlie
I wrote that piece (Score:3, Informative)
-Charlie
Re:I wrote that piece (Score:3, Funny)
And who says the community moderation system and points allocation system doesn't work?
-Charlie
Re:I wrote that piece (Score:4, Insightful)
THe wardens did not play nice, and MS stepped in with currency by the cubic meter, and a match made in hell was born.
Sort answer, no, no Apple for now, they have no reason to dilute their brand. From the Apple side of things, they are right.
-Charlie
Re:I wrote that piece (Score:3, Insightful)
If you were worried about one group ramming standards down your throat, would you put money on the guys controlling 2% or the two controlling ~85% each?
-Charlie
Be afraid, be very afraid. (Score:2)
All this fear mongering is getting tiresome, annoying and starting to lose it effect.
Yes, the world is a scary and deadly place. You will most certainly not survive it. Although it might take a 120 or even 150 orbits around that big yellow thing in the sky, you still end up dead.
However if you jump in the deep end at every occasion, you won't last that many orbits.
the problem is... (Score:2)
There will always be enough consumers out there who don't understand enough about the issues and will still buy PC's using this technology.
That group is always much larger than the 'informed' (e.g
Old news (Score:5, Insightful)
And anyways; big whooping deal!
1. It will *fail*. The cable companies, and alternate provides (like TiVO) will crush Intel, Microsoft, and anyone elses who attempts to develop a media pc. Why? Because the average consumer is much more willing to have an instant-on appliance managed by an outside operator which looks to cost very little (only $5 more on your monthly bill!) than an expensive looking ($500-$1000 at your local electronics store) box with a moderately arcane setup (all you have to do is use this IR transceiver to transmit codes to your cable box, and then program it for the right codes!, or something to do with this new 'cablecard' deal, which few people (especially the cable companies) seem to know much about)).
Also, I suspect the Windows-based media boxen will be notoriously unreliable and buggy. Also late. Look at Microsoft's IPTV initiative. It's running *way* late. Even for the providers that are already signed up! SBC's techs are sweating bullets right now:
http://www.usatoday.com/money/media/2005-06-07-sb
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2005/06/01/ms_iptv_s
While it *looks* like Microsoft is on-track with Comcast, Comcast excutives have repeatedly said they are evalutating both iGuide (their current supplier) as well as Microsoft for their boxes. And historically, Microsoft has a terrible record when dealing with cable companies:
http://www.windowsitpro.com/Windows/Article/Artic
Do you *really* expect to have any of these companies roll out a full MS solution on-time without siginificant bugs? I don't, and as soon as one supplies switches, or has a miserable failure (ready Comcast's Oregon MS set-top system freezes for a week) the whole market will break loose.
Which, incidentially, is how Microsoft lost the *rest* of the world regarding IPTV and set-top boxes, which is especially ironic given their size (4737489372 pound gorrilla), and that most content providers started out by saying that the MS solution was their future.
2. Intel's DRM will be cracked. Anyone play a DVD on linux? Did you do it using your licensed player, or your technically illegal libdvdcss? (Except, of course, in a few countries in the world. U.S. is *not* including). This is the primary way that people play DVDs on linux; this is not a niche solution.
3. Most likely, Intel will provide a closed-source kernel module that will provide an API to interact with a closed-source graphics driver. Nvidia and ATI will do the same thing, as well. So you'll be able to get gimped, DRM TV on your linux box, as well.
People have been crying that the sky has been falling for a long time. The problem is, Intel/Micosoft have never been able to deliever the 'killer' solution that ends all competition. They are always a day late and a dollar short. I really just don't consider them a serious threat.
A *far* more serious threat to home linux theatre PCs is the arcane setup required for most linux DVR projects. Fix that mess, and you'll see cheap linux home theatre pc's avaliable at walmart.
Not that I'm blaming the MythTV developers, or the Freevo developers. But it is hard to get those projects up and running correctly at home, and I imagine that from a developer perspective it looks easier to build an MS solution than a Linux solution, which is why the big media distribution companies are looking at MS first.
Once they get their hands wet (as the European firms did), they give up on the MS bugs. I expect an annoucement from Bellsouth to that effect shortly.
DRM fails because of the copying device market (Score:3, Interesting)
Fortunately, due to human nature being so wonderfully inept at controlling anything successfully for lengthy periods of time, I don't think we need worry about "Intel Cutting Linux Out of Content Market" or your more wild theories about lack of choice in terms of your media.
Other markets always open up which counter DRM.
Case in point is DVD-R, worth billions for the companies that sell the units and the media.
Before that CD-R, before that VHS, Betamax, Cassette tape.
These companies can afford to own Congressmen and can also afford to make DRM meaningless.
If DRM means that people won't be able to copy their media, or record TV, then a MASSIVE segment of the entire home entertainment industry will go bust.
Obviously that isn't going to happen.
Linux only? (Score:3, Interesting)
I know, I know
Down the hall from Hitler... (Score:3, Informative)
DRM will eventually die... eventually... (Score:5, Insightful)
The only problem is that this will take a while.
Re:DRM will eventually die... eventually... (Score:3, Interesting)
There is a very well-defined production path for 'pop' music, as well as a few other mature genres. Specifically, check out the 'boy-band' scene.
Many movies released are 'safe', i.e. derivatives with a guaranteed low payoff rather than a potential high payoff. This is how it has to be if movie studios are to
What about Xbox? (Score:3, Insightful)
But ultimately, I think the PC will never topple the TV. While technically they could be blended into a single machine, people have been enculturated deeply to keep them separate entities.
Seriously, what value does a Media Center PC have over a convential media center? If anything, "convential" media centers are going to increasingly get PC-like functionality and displace the computer in people's homes, not visa-versa; they're the ones coming from a point of strength.
Re:I think Intel has more to lose (Score:2, Interesting)
Personally, I'm an AMD-Linux user.