Become a fan of Slashdot on Facebook

 



Forgot your password?
typodupeerror
Open Source Operating Systems Linux

Linux Reaches 5% On Desktop (ostechnix.com) 41

Longtime Slashdot reader bobdevine shares a report from OSTechNix: For the first time, Linux has officially broken the 5% desktop market share barrier in the United States of America! It's a huge milestone for open-source and our fantastic Linux community. While many might think of Linux as a niche choice, this new data shows a significant shift is happening.

According to the latest StatCounter Global Stats for June 2025, Linux now holds 5.03% of the desktop operating system market share in the United United States of America. This is fantastic news! [...] One truly satisfying detail for me? Linux has finally surpassed the "Unknown" category in the USA! It shows that our growth is clear and recognized.
"It took eight years to go from 1% to 2% (by April 2021), then just 2.2 years to reach 3% (June 2023), and a mere 0.7 years to hit 4% (February 2024)," notes the report. "Now, here we are, at over 5% in the USA! This exponential growth suggests that we're on a promising upward trend."

Linux Reaches 5% On Desktop

Comments Filter:
  • It took eight years to go from 1% to 2% (by April 2021), then just 2.2 years to reach 3% (June 2023), and a mere 0.7 years to hit 4% (February 2024)," notes the report. "Now, here we are, at over 5% in the USA! This exponential growth suggests that we're on a promising upward trend."

    That is not exponential growth.

    It isn't even close.

    • It's far faster than exponential (assuming that's 1% of a constant-size market, then 2% of the same market, etc.). The first doubling time was 8 years; an exponential growth process would keep the same doubling time, but it took another 2.9 years to double again.
      So your "not even close" is correct, in that exponential growth is far slower than whatever this is.

      • I suspect, much of this is driven by Microsoft, who are aggressively pushing features that absolutely nobody wants e.g. ads in the Start menu, Recall, and forced use of a MS-cloud account.

      • by Xenx ( 2211586 )
        Growth from 4% to 5% slowed down in comparison to 3% to 4%. Overall, it may fit the colloquial use of exponential growth. However, it does not fit the mathematical.
    • by davidwr ( 791652 )

      That is not exponential growth.

      Exponential growth can be very slow in the short term. Your savings account that pays 0.01% interest each year is growing exponentially, but you won't get rich off of it in a typical human lifetime.

    • At this rate, linux should have 1400% of the desktop market share by 2040!
  • by dgatwood ( 11270 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2025 @07:14PM (#65525738) Homepage Journal

    Just curious how much SteamOS contributes to that total.

    • But that's probably worldwide. There's an estimated 60 million desktops in America though. So I think it's safe to say that a lot of if not most of that is steam decks.

      That doesn't really help desktop Linux adoption because not very many people use a steam deck as a desktop. I came across one YouTuber doing it because they killed their main desktop PC but beyond that most people are going to use it for gaming only. Maybe some movies and lite web browsing.

      That means a lot of the software that locks pe
      • Oh and also I'm wondering if some of this is because of the shrinking desktop market. Somebody who is a Linux user is going to have a desktop computer because they're going to be a PC enthusiast in most cases. Yeah there's the occasional family member who installs Linux for somebody who literally just opens Internet explorer but honestly most of those people these days have switched the phones for that, maybe a table.

        So I guess what I'm saying is the number of Linux users is likely to stay constant whil
      • That doesn't really help desktop Linux adoption because not very many people use a steam deck as a desktop.

        We count gaming PCs but most gamers don't really use their PCs as a desktop beyond "some movies [porn] and lite web browsing."

        In all seriousness, though, I think it does help Linux desktop adoption because it normalizes Linux for these users. It's very common on ./ to see posts where people say, "I only use Windows for games." Gamers tend to build their own PCs (or buy weird custom rigs), so unlike most computer users the OS isn't just baked into the cost. Also, judging by their hardware, ricing Linux shoul

      • But that's probably worldwide. There's an estimated 60 million desktops in America though. So I think it's safe to say that a lot of if not most of that is steam decks.

        * looks over at the rather obvious handheld form-factor that is Steam Deck *

        If that is now considered a “desktop”, then I’m guessing my full-sized tower chassis is now classified as either an MMA weight training aide or a medieval torture device, depending on local gun laws.

        Perhaps I should stop complaining before someone doubles down and re-defines what a “desk” isn’t anymore.

    • by dbialac ( 320955 )
      And lets not forget about Android tablets.
      • No lets forget them since Android are identified as a separate OS category and not considered a desktop OS. SteamOS actually is a desktop OS - it just runs an app over the top by default. A quick push of a button drops you to the KDE environment.

    • Just curious how much Windows 11 contributes to that total.

      FTFY.

      Even the Microsoft fans who love to hate those who hate Windows, would agree at this point.

  • Microgratulations! This is the Year of 1/20th of Desktops for Linux! In the year 2525 we'll finally own the desktop! The robots will be so jealous of humans while they are converting us into biofuel.

  • by johnnys ( 592333 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2025 @07:20PM (#65525750)
    As the desktop percentage of Linux increases, the incentives for manufacturers to take Linux on the desktop seriously as customers increases.
    • As the desktop percentage of Linux increases, the incentives for manufacturers to take Linux on the desktop seriously as customers increases.

      Suddenly all those Come to the Dark Side OS jokes get confusing. Who’s the Dark Side again? Are we the Good Guys now? I mean hell, we gotta be looking at all the shit Windows is pulling..

    • Yes and no, at present the drive is still special purpose devices and not something that manufacturers would target to general public. The issue here is manufacturers know the numbers. Other than HP all other majors provide Linux options across some of their products and they can see how consumers choose.

  • It's causing linux on the desktop to become a thing.

    • It's not that Windows 11 is *BAD* per se, but it requires TPM 2.0. I cannot upgrade from win 10 to Win 11 because my machine is too old, and doesn't have a TPM, but I'm not willing to throw it away for a newer one. Despite it's increased learning curve, Linux is now the preferred choice.Also, recent advances in usability and similarity to Windows also makes Linux more appealing now.
      • Microsoft wants perfectly functional hardware to become e-waste. Windows 11 makes the world a worse place in service of corporate profits.

  • These stats from statcounter are based on analysis of hits to the set of websites that they have instrumented. Their FAQ mentions that they have instrumented 1.5 million websites. The estimate of global websites is over 1 billion, with somewhere around 200 million active websites. So, it's clear that statcounter's instrumentation is a sampling of the total websites.

    However, the more important question is how representative that sampling is. We get a hint from the distribution of website hit across count

    • Its got 3 of the 4th largest european countries. Russia isn't on that top 10, probably for similar reasons that china seems lowish. But excluding russia, Turkey, UK and Germany are the three largest countries (Turkey, Germany, UK in that order of size.) So yes, the smaller ones arent on the top 10, but thats probably beause they just dont have enough people.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

  • The things holding back Linux for the unwashed masses have diminished to minor annoyances in the last 15 years, especially when compared to the nonsense wintel still puts its users through. It finally has gotten through to ords that there are solid reasons why experts don't even consider Windows as an option when doing mission critical stuff these days. ChromeOS and Android are signs of the things to come and Windows isn't even on the radar with those usage patterns.

    Looks like linux has finally gotten criti

    • Personally I fundamentally do not get why M$ even has a business case with their system.

      Their business case is to use their Windows monopoly to force users into using their browser, default every software to save into their cloud space and stronghand them users to subscribe more, extract personal data from anything on their clouds and show ads, exploit any useful media on their cloud for AI training, promote subscriptions for their office software, and bundle together software that people used to subscribe separately so to suppress competition.

  • hmm lemme think... a real os with actual people really caring about it, or your infinitely enshittifying personal pile of ad-infested idiocy?

    yeah i think i'll take the real os thanks, losers

  • I know the comments section will be full of jokes about the Year of the Linux desktop, but I can remember when Macs were less than 5% of estimated computer usage. Linux growth was glacial until relatively recently, but it's becoming a much more serious contender. Even prominent YouTubers [youtu.be] have recently been making videos [youtu.be] about trying Linux and giving it praise for its ease-of-use, customizability, and ad-free environment. You don't need your marketshare to get to 100%, or even 50%, in order to have a majo
    • And usability... does a M$ Word document open and work 100% in OpenOffice? Does a Windows game run 100% in WINE? How much still has to be done through Bash or some terminal in order to make something else work? Will it work with some random box of parts?
      The reason it's never taken off is that every single person's computer is different (mine: 24-core 3.8GHz Threadripper, 128GB RAM, Titan X GPU)... people don't want to have to fight crap just to get video working at a decent resolution... one distribution

      • by tepples ( 727027 )

        Does a Windows game run 100% in WINE?

        YES! Many happy users of Proton on Steam Deck will answer in the affirmative for many games. This is what Valve's 30 percent cut of Steam sales pays for.

        If *Nix was just a simple drop-in replacement without all the config issues that require an hour of reading to fix

        As if Windows 11 doesn't have its own host of "config issues that require an hour of reading to fix."

      • "does a M$ Word document open and work 100% in OpenOffice"

        Yes. The only thing that I ever had trouble with in Open Office was Excel graphs.

        Most people are not running the sort of state of art monster gamer rig you use. For Joe Computer Linux works fine for Joe Computer defined as than Core 2 Duo or newer.

        Now sitting up file sharing of the Samba is a pain and requires a couple hours of study as opposed to three or four clicks on a Mac. Most people don't do that either, but it is a valid complaint.

  • Linux gives them web browsers with security, for free, and fast. A person with a half of a brain would switch, in my humble opinion.
    • Most people have a whole brain, that is, two halves. So they switch with one half, then the other, and end up back where they started.

      So you either create a whole 'nother open source OS and ecosystem so that after two switches roughly half end up on Linux.

      Or you lobotomize everyone.

  • Give thanks to the mighty Windows 11. The best thing to ever happen to Linux. An honorable mention needs to go to the nutter Satya for making it all possible.

  • Is it really that hard to garner just the smallest of market share when you have 1900 different products that classify as "linux"? The metrics count even a single day of use before that user distro hops to yet another choice - so one user can count as 50 or 100? Only the linux cultists will take this 5% as something wow-able, to the rest of the computer biz, it's only slightly better then the rounding error it's always been. What's more impressive is with a product that's GIVEN AWAY FREE, they can only g

  • Stop leaving your android phones on the desk while using your Windows or Mac.

  • It took eight years to go from 1% to 2% (by April 2021), then just 2.2 years to reach 3% (June 2023), and a mere 0.7 years to hit 4% (February 2024)," notes the report. "Now, here we are, at over 5% in the USA!

    So, from 3% to 4% took 0.7 years.
    Oops, from 4% to 5% took 1.4 years. That didn't quite make the "exponential" curve look so pretty. But hey, 5%, time to pop some corks!

The cost of living is going up, and the chance of living is going down.

Working...